First opinion poll on Salmond-led list party
12% would definitely vote Salmond, according to poll
Now that Alex Salmond has launched his Alba Party, there has been much speculation as to how well they will do in the polls.
I can reveal the result of the first opinion poll of how many would vote for a Salmond-led list party:
12% (of the whole electorate, not just indy supporters) would definitely vote for it
and another 14% say they would be more likely than not to vote for it.
Is this a new poll? No, it’s from a poll published in July 2020 by Wings over Scotland:
We added the question to our latest Panelbase poll, conducted last week. And the results were pretty explosive.
The headline figures – that 26% of Scottish voters would either definitely or probably give their list vote to a Salmond-led list party – were fairly stunning in themselves for a brand new party.
Because clearly, the appeal of such a party would be fundamentally restricted to half of the electorate – the half that wants independence. So what really matters is how many votes it gets from Yes supporters, whose list votes are currently almost totally wasted. And that’s where the picture gets really interesting.
A familiar-sounding 45% of 2014 Yes voters said they’d either definitely or probably vote for Salmond’s party, with another 33% not prepared to rule it out. And in fact 11% of No voters agreed. Those are absolutely huge numbers for a new party.
Data tables:
The full data tables are available via the Panelbase website.