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Bill Gilmour's avatar

There are two sorts of people. Those who think they know the future and those who know they do not.

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Pontifex Minimus 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿's avatar

No-one knows the future. But people can think about what might happen, and use that to decide what they need to do now to forstall undesirable eventualities.

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Bill Gilmour's avatar

Yes, we invest in education or home because they are highly likely to be useful.

However, what makes you think Putin will die in 3 years. (Statistically, he should have died 3 years ago.) What policy changes should you make now?

In 2028, "In Scotland all but 3 seats go to the all-party United For Independence coalition." If you believe a word of that, what are you going to do about it?

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Pontifex Minimus 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿's avatar

I did explicitly say "It almost certainly won't go exactly like this".

As for indy parties winning all-but-three seats, that happened in 2015.

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Bill Gilmour's avatar

I asked you two questions.

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Pontifex Minimus 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿's avatar

Putin will die at some time, I've no idea when. Like I said, It almost certainly won't go exactly like this".

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Bill Gilmour's avatar

You're eliding yourself, you continued, "this is an example of something that's plausible".

Good evening.

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Calum's avatar

Perun is a great channel!

A couple of things about your timeline. The interim process between a Yes vote and Independence is going to be (and for good reason in my opinion) a lot longer than one year, and even more so in Northern Ireland than Scotland.

You can’t be advocating for “sleeper agents in England.” Don’t want to be invaded? It helps to not piss off other countries.

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Pontifex Minimus 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿's avatar

Countries spy on other countries. They have done so ever since countries have existed. Independent Scotland would be no different. And sleeper agents would only be a threat to England if they invaded us.

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